As of now, based on the BWF Olympic Qualification ranking Road to Paris 2024, HS Prannoy, PV Sindhu, Satwik Reddy & Chirag Shetty, and Gayatri Gopichand & Treesa Jolly have the chance to play for the country. Lakshya Sen is trailing behind the players from the Asian badminton powerhouses to make India's full-house Men's Singles Contingent. No chance for India to play in the Mixed doubles event though they are trailing behind Continent Quota Pairs.
Qualification is entirely through the ranking list of the BWF Race to Paris Summer Olympics, not by the BWF world or tour rankings. The ranking is based on the tournaments happening during the qualification window period from 1 May 2023 to 28 April 2024 for men's singles & doubles, women's singles & doubles, and mixed doubles events.
Singles qualification:
There are 38 initial quota places for the men's singles. Nations with multiple players in the top 16 of the ranking list could earn 2 quota places; all others are limited to 1. Players are taken from the BWF Race to Paris Olympic Qualification ranking list in order, respecting the national limits, until the places are filled. Each continent is guaranteed one spot, either through the invitational spots or by replacing the lowest-ranked player if necessary. The host nation spot may be used by France or unused.
Additional places beyond 38 are added where players qualified as per Olympic norms, including invited Refugee Team, and the total of qualified players is thus 42.
Doubles qualification:
Nations with at least two qualification pairs in the top 8 can send a maximum of 2 pairs (4 players); all other nations are limited to a single pair. Pairs are taken from the BWF Race to Paris Olympic Qualification ranking list in order, respecting those national limits, until 16 pairs are selected. However, each continent is guaranteed to have at least one pair with the lowest-ranking pairs displaced if necessary to make room for a continental guarantee.
While half of the selection period is over by Nov 2023, the qualification positions and chances of Indian players are discussed in comparison with other countries. After the upcoming Syed Modi Super 300, only 4 months are remaining for the players whose chances are hanging.
Men's Singles:
HS Prannoy is comfortably in 7th place with 66164 points and Lakshya Sen is trailing for the country's maximum quota. He has 50140 points and stands between 15 & 16 qualification ranks. He is in a hot race with the following players and Srikanth Kidambi who is a qualification rank 20
QR 14 LOH Kean Yew, Singapore 55152 points
WR 15 Weng Hongyang, China 53440 points
QR15 LEE Cheuk Yiu, Hongkong 52330 points
Surprisingly, all three players and Sen, were exited from round 32 of the recently concluded China Masters 2023. While Sen is trailing for the country's maximum quota, the remaining two are ensuring their country's top quota.
Japan, China, Denmark, Malaysia, and Indonesia are closely ensuring a maximum of 2 seats. Next to them, Sen has to fight to make India full house Men's Contingent, and it would be history since India made the full house in 2004 in Men's singles.
Women's Singles:
PV Sindhu is in qualification rank 9 now and a probable player. It's a nightmare for Akarshi Kashyap, who trails behind qualification rank 20 and needs another 20000+ points in the next 6 months.
Korea, China, Japan, and Thailand may represent two players each as of now.
Men's Doubles:
Emerging Super Stars of India Badminton, Chirag & Satwik are in qualification rank 6 and chances are less for another Indian pair.
No country represents their second pair in the Men's doubles event and competition is evenly distributed.
Women's Doubles:
Gayatri Gopichand and Treesa will be safe to represent the country and in qualification rank 10. Their chances are mostly positive because their toppers are from dominating countries and their following players are ensuring continental quota. At the same time, the situation will not allow the next Indian pair to play, unless the Gayatri and Treesa pair slips behind Canada, USA pairs, or their counterparts Ashwini &Tanisha.
Korea and Japan may represent their full house in the Women's doubles event.
Mixed Doubles:
Chances for India to represent in Mixed doubles are mostly null, Indian top pair Sikki and Rohan trail behind the North American and Canadian players continental quota players, and it is a mountain challenge for them to surpass the QR 10 Indonesian Pair Rinov and Pitha Haningtyas who are with 49614 points.
Indian probable contingent for Summer Olympics Paris 2024 by 27th Nov 2023 is listed.
HS Prannoy - Men's Singles - Maiden Olympic Game PV Sindhu - Women's Singles - 3rd Olympics Game
Chirag & Satwik - Men's Doubles - 2nd Olympics Game Gayathri Gopichand & Treesha Jolly - Women's Doubles - Maiden Olympics Game
During the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, India's medal was in Women's Singles Bronze from PV Sindh and the contingent includes Sai Praneeth, Chirag, and Satwik. PV Sindhu will join with Saina Nehwal to represent Badminton India in the Olympics most of the time.
The remaining eligible major BWF Tour tournaments in the next four months till 28th April 2024 which will decide the firm chances of the top players to play Paris 2024 are listed.
13th Dec, HSBC BWF World Tour Finals 2023
09th Jan, PETRONAS Malaysia Open 2024
16th Jan, YONEX SUNRISE India Open 2024, 23rd Jan, Indonesia Masters 2024,
30th Jan, Thailand Masters 2024
27th Feb, YONEX German Open 2024,
10th Mar, French Open 2024, 11th Mar, All England Open 2024,
12th Mar, Orleans Masters 2024,
19th Mar, Swiss Open 2024,
19th Mar, Ruichang China Masters 2024,
26th Mar, Madrid Spain Masters 2024
The following tournament results are taken into account which could happened during the window period.
Thomas & Uber Cup
Sudirman Cup
World Championships
Grade 2 BWF tour tournaments – Levels 1 to 6
Grade 3 BWF Continental tour tournaments - International Challenge, International Series & Future Series
Continental Championships (individual and team)
Continental Multi sports games – Pan American Games, European Games, and African Games (if sanctioned during the qualification period)
Any other international event sanctioned by BWF and included in advance and with BWF approval as being part of the World Ranking Lists
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